The Monty Hall Problem

August 18, 2018

In this post I explain the way I came to reason about the Monty Hall problem and provide a tool for you to run experiements to see the outcome of different strategies for playing the game. The Monty Hall problem is an interesting probability teaser. The premise is this: suppose you are at a game show with three doors, one of which has a prize. You, as a guest, have two chances of choosing a door to win the prize. ... Read more

Probabilistic Reasoning

March 16, 2017

It’s Monday morning, and you just got up. You look at the clock, and it tells you the time is now 7.45am. You have a presentation that starts 8.30am, so that gives you exactly 45min to get to the office. Now, you have a few decisions to make here. Breakfast, yes or no? Mode of transportation, bus, metro or biking? Clothing preparation, i.e. throwing on last week’s shirt or ironing new clothes? ... Read more